Its A Ducking Stat Attack
Time allowing, we are going to be posting a daily blog covering some key stats and trends for some of the day's runners in the UK and Ireland. Please read the stats carefully as not all of them will be positive!
Stat 1 - When it comes to National Hunt racing, winning at the bottom level (Class 5) can be a tricky task. For most trainers races such as this aren’t worth targeting or getting excited about but Tom Lacey certainly doesn’t share that view. In the last 5 years, Tom has a 25% win rate in C5 handicap hurdles and he’s 6 from 17 in 2022 so far. The runners of interest today are: YOU NAME HIM (9/1) and BENITO (11/4) who run in the 2:17 and 2:52 at Chepstow.
Stat 2 - Early season turf maidens in Ireland are notoriously trappy affairs and it is always hard to know which horses are fit and ready and which are out running for experience. One thing is certain though, when Ger Lyons and Colin Keane team up in turf maidens in the spring you want to take note as they have a 24.05% win rate and show a level stakes profit to SP. Although the team didn’t get into the winners enclosure with their qualifying horses in March, they finished 4th/2nd/4th/4th/3rd so it looks like Ger has his string dialled up early once again. The horse of interest today is JANOOBI (3/1) who runs in the 2:00 at Leopardstown.
Stat 3 - AP O’Brien has won 4 of the last 5 renewals of the 2000 Guineas Trial at Leopardstown and all of his winning runners had a few things in common. Firstly, they were the stable’s first string and secondly, they had an official rating of 101+. The horse of interest today is therefore GLOUNTHAUNE (9/4) who runs in the 2:35 at Leopardstown.
Stat 4 - James Ferguson is a trainer that should be on every punters radar and his record at Wolverhampton without filters is impressive enough. However, when we look solely at his runners that had forecast odds of 9/2 or less, we get some very tasty statistics (14 runs/8 Wins/4 Places). The horse of interest today is THE WRITER (11/4) who runs in the 5:30 at Wolverhampton.